National Do Not Call List

September 30, 2008

Canadians rejoice!!!! The National Do Not Call List is now live. You can register your telephone number to prevent telemarketers from calling.

Canadian Federal Election

September 13, 2008

A friend writes:

Dear Rad,
Please start commenting on the federal election because right now I need to hear your rational defense of conservative policies. A Stephen Harper majority is giving me nightmares.

If I remember correctly, fear of a Stephen Harper government was the main argument against the Conservatives in the last election, no? Something about Harper wielding The-Clause-Of-Conservative-Destiny (Tenacious D rules!!!).

I think Harper’s Conservatives are as centrist as they come. I don’t think fiscal conservatives (like myself) or social conservatives (pro-family types) or the keep-your-stinkin’-paws-off-of-our-oil-revenue types (Albertans) are licking their chops with the prospect of a Harper majority. We expect small tweaks to policies that have been embraced by both Liberals and Conservatives for decades now and we don’t even expect the tweaks to be in a direction we favor. The current brand of Lost-Liberals, NDP, Bloc, and Green Party promote policies that would give me nightmares if I thought they had any hope of taking power.

I think we all have to get used to the idea of the current Conservatives being in power for quite some time. The fact that the Conservatives were in power this long with a coaltion-free minority government is mind boggling. There is only one centrist choice currently while all the other federal parties have taken a left-ward turn (including the Bloc). 

Splitting votes across different parties/candidates with almost identical policies is not a recipe for success. Just look at the impact of a Ralph Nader or Ross Perot on U.S. politics.

So personally I am not terribly excited by the Canadian federal election. The views of the “left” vs. the “right” I find fascinating. Obama vs. Palin I find fascinating. Whether or not there is any such thing as a “rational defense” I find infinitely fascinating.

“Taking an orphaned animal home is not legal in New Brunswick without a permit,” said Mr. Delong. “And permits are not generally issued for someone to take an animal home to take care of it.”

This from a Globe and Mail story about a man who performed a caesarean section on a pregnant deer that layed dying at the side of the road after being struck by a pick-up truck.

So I’m curious whether the journalist who wrote the article is emphasizing the legal/illegal aspect to add tension to this interesting story. It is hard to believe that the Department of Natural Resources officials in New Brunswick are debating whether or not to charge this man.

So let me get this straight… the Liberals propose a favorable change to the current RESP (Registered Education Savings Plan) rules that passes and the Conservatives turn around and want to squash the bill because it represents an irresponsible tax cut for the wealthy.

Mr. Flaherty defended the government’s approach as adequate and affordable. He said he was unconcerned about a backlash from voting parents excited by the prospect of a new tax break because only wealthier families would benefit from Mr. McTeague’s proposal.

“If you’re rich, it’ll be a popular plan,” Mr. Flaherty said.

Perhaps the backlash will not come from voting parents but from conservatives/libertarians that cringe when politicians use socialist talking points. No Comrade Flaherty, we shall never allow those nasty bourgeoisie take more money from the proletariat.

First those nasty retirees getting filthy rich off of income trusts were knocked down a notch or two now its time to go after parents trying to save for their kids education. Privileged SOBs… you go get’em Jim.

If you contribute to your RRSP, you can reduce the amount of tax deducted from your pay rather than wait until tax time for a refund. Why let Mr. Harper hold on to your money when you could be helping your cash flow situation all year long. Fill out the Request to Reduce Tax Deductions at Source form and mail it to your local Tax Services Office.  The contribution limit for 2008 is 18% of your salary up to a maximum of $20,000.

Clive Crook has an article in the Financial Times about the American institutions Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Until recently it was possible to regard the US system of housing finance as one of the best – if not the best – in the world. Just as it was intended to, it has supported very high levels of home ownership, notably among the less prosperous. But the semi-public entities chiefly responsible for that success, and the financial technologies they devised and promoted, are deeply implicated in the housing market crash that now threatens the US and world economies. Will that turmoil lead to a scaling back of their role?

I find it curious that we have this natural social experiment, Canada vs. the United States, that is rarely used as a basis for comparing policy choices. As far as I can tell, Canadian culture and American culture are about as identical as any two countries in the world (though I’m guessing many/most Canadians will object to that characterization) yet the two countries have drastically different institutions. Except for goofy comparisons by Michael Moore, there is little discussion about the outcomes of the diverging policy choices in the two countries. Canada vs. the U.S. makes for a wonderful apples-to-apples comparison and it even has a handy built in 10x scaling factor for population.

I suspect that free market advocates would argue that Fannie and Freddie do nothing but subsidize bigger homes. The same argument holds for tax deductible mortgage interest (U.S. only). I think home ownership rates in the U.S. and Canada are approximately equal and this is NOT what you should expect given the very attractive incentives available in the U.S..

And the same holds true for public education. Whenever I hear an economist talk about school vouchers to fix the broken public school system in the U.S., I wonder if they think the public school system in Canada is also broken. I think public education works pretty well in Canada so why the difference?

The “Death Tax” (estate tax) only exists in the U.S. although the one big lump sum for capital gains can seem like a death tax in Canada.

Hand guns? Welfare? Minimum wage? Fuel taxes? Ethanol Fuel? Immigration? Why so few thoughtful comparisons?

Referendum Ontario

September 25, 2007

My registration card for the upcoming October 10th Ontario election arrived in the mail the other day. In the package there was a pamphlet explaining that this election will also have a referendum question. The question is whether we should keep the existing electoral system OR switch to a new alternative electoral system.

Hmmmmm…. sounds ominous. They call the old system “First Past The Poll”. Very catchy, no? I think of it as a Zero Sum Riding system where there can be only one winner in a riding. The problem with the old system is that TV commentators say things like “the Penultimate Party only won 23 seats despite winning 39% of the popular vote” the next day.

So how do you fix the system to prevent cynicism on TV? Well, you use the proposed alternative electoral system which is called Mixed Member Proportional. Catchy, no? So the way this works is that each party makes a list of special politicians that you don’t vote for in addition to the politicians that run in each riding. When the riding results are in someone calls the Election.everyonePlayNice() Java method and politicians from each party’s pre-assigned list are “elected” to make the vote proportional.

So I thought hard about this. After about 5 seconds I thought, well fair is good. But at about 7.5 seconds I realized there is some weird stuff in this new system. A ballot will allow for two votes, one for the person you want to win in your riding and one for the party you want to win in the province. Perfect for those that want to cook up devious voting strategies but really a bit of superfluous complexity in my mind. The system can work fine without the two votes but this is what we get if we vote yes. Then I wondered about the politicians in the pre-assigned list. What is that all about? How are they accountable? I don’t like the idea of nebulous blobs of politicians.

Then the real kicker occurred to me. How do election outcomes change? Well, it seems to me that the system takes seats from the zero sum riding winner and redistributes them to everyone else. So more minority governments or at least it increases the likelihood of minority governments. So the NDP or The Green Party carry the balance of power. Yuck.

Here is the other thing. After thinking hard about a simple yes/no question for 15 minutes if you still don’t have an obvious opinion then there are probably some non-trivial ramifications involved.

I’m voting no (I’m thinking maybe…. nothing like firm commitment).

UPDATE (2007/10/11): Electoral reform rejected with 63% against.

Minks Gone Wild

September 16, 2007

Someone in Newfoundland decided to free Willy…. ummmm, I mean 6000 minks. But fear not.

Police said there is no reason for local people to be worried about the free-roaming animals.

“We’ve been advised they pose no danger, but now we are advising people that if they happen to see one in the yard, certainly don’t go over and try and capture it themselves.”

Perplexing in a weaselly kind of way.

Canada’s privacy commissioner is concerned about Google Street View.

A number of websites carry satellite images or low-resolution photographs and video.

Stoddart doesn’t have a problem with those. However, she warned that high-resolution pictures such as those available on Street View could contravene the Personal Information Protection and Electronic Documents Act, which came into effect on Jan. 1, 2004.

“Our Office considers images of individuals that are sufficiently clear to allow an individual to be identified to be personal information within the meaning of PIPEDA,” Stoddart writes.

Of particular concern to Stoddart is that the images on Street View appear to have been collected largely without the consent of the people in them. Street View does allow viewers to request their images be removed. However, by then, Stoddart says, it’s too late.

Oh brother. Am I missing something? The PIPEDA is about the collection of “personal information” not about unintentionally including an individual in an image of a streetscape. If this is the most pressing privacy issue in Canada then we are indeed a privileged country.

 Statistics Canada released a new report on the crime rate.

Canada’s overall national crime rate, based on incidents reported to police, hit its lowest point in over 25 years in 2006, driven by a decline in non-violent crime.

right click the chart to save it.

The Daily, Wednesday, July 18, 2007. Crime statistics

A report in the Globe and Mail says the Canadian federal government is supporting the plan to bury nuclear waste. The most interesting statement comes from Gord Edwards who is the director of the Canadian Coalition for Nuclear Responsibility.

“In the face of a growing nuclear industry or even a static nuclear industry, this is not really a solution to the catastrophe problem at the surface,” Mr. Edwards said. He said any kind of major explosion - such as a terrorist attack - at a surface storage site would release radioactive clouds as deadly as those at the Chernobyl reactor that melted down in the former Soviet Union in 1986.

So how many people died due to the Chernobyl accident? Read the rest of this entry »

DasL wants to know how Vitamin D derived from sun exposure can prevent cancer when we have been told to cover up from the sun to prevent skin cancer. Marc answers DasL’s confusion in the comments section (see full exchange here).

So here is my interpretation. There are two types of skin cancer, melanoma and nonmelanoma. Nonmelanoma skin cancers are very common but rarely fatal. Malignant melanoma is very rare but deadly. Over-exposure (i.e. sun burns) can lead to skin cancer in general. Vitamin D protects against cancers that have a very high mortality rate, including malignant melanoma.

Vitamin D is produced in skin exposed to UV-B. The more common and abundant type of UV is UV-A which gives us a tan. UV-B levels are dependent on where the sun is in the sky. Highest levels occur at mid-day in the summer while typical Canadian UV-B levels are insufficient for 4-6 months of the year (winter).

The trick is to get UV-B exposure without getting burned. Short exposures at mid-day are ideal.

So how did the famously healthy Greenland Inuit get their Vitamin D? Food, of course. I’ll take a shot at Vitamin D in food in another post.

Statistics Canada released some fantastic news about the two biggest killers of Canadians, cancer and cardiovascular disease but you have to dig through the negative spin to find it:

The age-standardized mortality rate for cardiovascular diseases declined 16% from 2000 to 2004, while cancer mortality rates declined 4% over the same period.

That is awesome.